After entering the Beginning of Autumn, the high temperature weather in Xinjiang has improved significantly. Recently, the daily high temperature has dropped by an average of 2-3 degrees compared with the beginning of August, and the low temperature has dropped below 20 degrees in many places. High temperatures are not conducive to moisture transportation during the cotton boll-setting process, while an appropriate drop in temperature will help cotton cover the top of the peach. According to the survey statistics of cotton growth progress in the second quarter, it is expected that the space for cotton production reduction this year will be reduced.
Specifically, from April to May this year, the area of cotton resown was larger, and the areas with more rebroadcasts were concentrated in Kuitun and Changji in northern Xinjiang, Luntai County, and Luntai County in southern Xinjiang. Kuqa County, Shaya County and other places. During the second quarter, its growth progress was about 15-20 days later than the same period last year. Based on the current number of bolls, the growth progress was delayed to 6-10 days. According to feedback from some cotton farmers, if there are no major weather surprises in August and September, the difference between the final harvest time and last year will not be too big. This means that the good growth conditions of cotton in the later period compensated for the impact of extreme weather in the early stage.
According to some farmers in the Corps of Southern Xinjiang, at present, the average number of bolls in most cotton fields can reach 6-8, and in the later period, there will be about 2 bolls, which is the same as the same period last year. Comparatively, there are 1-2 less cotton bolls. The cost of planting, field management, and agricultural inputs in the Corps are generally higher than those in local areas, so cotton will grow faster in the future and the output will most likely decline, but the decline will continue to decrease. In addition, the cost of agricultural inputs such as land rent, chemical fertilizers, and drip irrigation belts has increased significantly this year, and the cost of cotton cultivation has increased. It is expected that most farmers will not be in a hurry to sell cotton, and will wait and see at first.
It is understood that the increase in the proportion of machine-picked cotton planting in southern Xinjiang this year is still relatively obvious. In some districts and counties, the proportion of machine-picked cotton planting can reach 95%. Therefore, this year’s cotton picking model has increased significantly. The problem of labor recruitment may be improved, and labor recruitment costs are not expected to be too high.
It is also worth noting that at the beginning of this year, the autonomous region linked cotton quality to target prices in some areas as a pilot project. Cotton farmers in the pilot areas were more concerned about improving cotton quality, and many cotton farmers actively participated in different Through formal planting technology training, after applying what has been learned to actual planting, many problems in the daily production process have been solved. At the same time, cotton farmers in many places are also paying more attention to how ginning companies will harvest this year to ensure cotton grading. </p
