The textile market in 2018 is very “coquettish”. A textile friend wrote a poem, which can be said to explain the market conditions of “gold, three, silver and four”:
The gray cloth market, Hundreds of factories shout for price increases, and thousands of businesses are panicked
Look inside and outside the market, all kinds of craziness
All the past inventory has been robbed
The cloth dances in the Year of the Dog, and cloth prices Like a rocket, I want to compete with Shenjiu
When it comes to selling, I look at the big and small merchants, and I just regret that the inventory is too small
The cloth market is so proud that it makes countless merchants straighten up
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Look at the price of gray fabric, it’s soaring all the way
Don’t worry about whether the market is good or not
Don’t hesitate
Quick payment and delivery, if you grab it, you will make money
If you don’t buy it today, it will be higher tomorrow
In 2018, the gray fabric market is so coquettish!
Since March, the market situation has continued to heat up, and the most talked about textile bosses are nothing more than “cannot adjust the blank,” “prices have increased again,” “the dyeing factory has been liquidated,” and so on. Almost all types of fabrics are easy to sell on the market, especially the “bad fabrics” recognized by industry insiders in the past few years, such as polyester taffeta, pongee, lightweight fabrics, etc., which have become “hard to find”.
Not only the weaving process, but also the printing and dyeing process is extremely busy. Dyeing factories are experiencing warehouse explosions, rising dyeing fees, stopping the collection of raw materials, and making appointments to carry fabrics. Some even say that tens of thousands of meters of fabrics are needed The order came in and I waited for a few months before it was shipped several kilometers away. Some people in the industry lamented: After more than ten years of business, the market situation in the past two years has become increasingly incomprehensible!
The spring of “raged cloth” is uniquely beautiful! Weaving manufacturers queued up to get regular products, causing the gray fabric market inventory to drop to the lowest level in recent years. According to the monitoring of China Silk City Network, the current inventory of gray fabrics in Shengzedi is about 22-23 days, a decrease of 7 days compared with the same period last year, and some products have zero inventory. Mr. Zhang from Shengze Boutique Business District said that in the past one and a half months, all kinds of fabrics have been selling well in the market, and prices have been rising frequently. Just polyester taffeta, the price has increased by 0.3-0.4 yuan/meter since the Spring Festival. , now that raw material prices are rising, it is estimated that there is still room for fabrics to rise.
Of course, many people in the industry are beginning to worry, Will the current hot phenomenon be just a symptom, and will the market take a turn for the worse after the “Gold, Three, Silver and Four”? Will there be spring in “raged cloth”? To this end, China Silk City Network visited several representative weaving companies in the textile town of Shengze.
1. Is the spring of “rag cloth” coming? ! What causes this?
During the visit, none of the companies attributed their recent market performance to environmental protection. Lu Yaoliang, general manager of Wujiang Xunru Textile Co., Ltd., said that prices are rising in all aspects now. The main reason for this phenomenon is the state’s environmental protection. For example, a weaving factory could originally operate 100 loom machines, but due to environmental protection, it could only operate 50. The number of meters that could be completed in one day would take two to three days to ship, which resulted in tight market supply.
Dong Huifeng, general manager of Jiajie Textile, also said: “There are currently few low-end lining gray fabrics in the market, so the supply of gray fabrics is still tight. Taking Wangjiangjing area as an example, many low-end looms have been eliminated, and the market production capacity Significantly reduced.”
(The picture shows Jiajie Textile General Manager Dong Huifeng and our reporter)
Since last year, Special rectification work on water-jet looms is in full swing, and various regions have successively introduced regulations to suspend production and limit production. The impact on the textile market can be said to be unprecedented. Taking the Wujiang region as an example, in 2017, the Wujiang region launched the “263” special operation and eliminated a total of 44,408 low-end and illegal water-jet looms throughout the year, accounting for 108.7% of the annual task. Cai Jianzhong, director of the Wujiang District Environmental Protection Bureau, said that Wujiang strives to reduce the total number of water-jet looms from 340,000 to 238,000 in three years from 2017 to 2019, ensuring a 30% reduction in the total.
Most of the water-jet machines currently on the market are more than 10 years old. The main models are 190. There are many small workshops, and most of the weaving machines are low-end varieties priced at 1-2 yuan. It can be said that the collapse of environmental protection has caused the domestic sprinkler industry to undergo a process of vacating the cage and changing birds.
(The picture shows Xunru Textile Fabric)
2. Spray Big transfer in the middle of the water loom! How much impact will this have on the market
While water-jet looms are being eliminated on a large scale, industrial transfer is imperative! Since last year, a large number of water-jet loom households in Jiangsu and Zhejiang have moved to inland areas such as Anhui, Hubei, Hunan, and Jiangxi. Thanks to the preferential support policies of the local government, the number of transferred looms has doubled. Data show that from January to September 2017, domestic sales of shuttleless looms (including exports) were 36,335 units, of which 22,000 were water-jet looms, an increase of 37.5% over the same period in 2016, accounting for 60.54% of the total sales of shuttleless looms. .
It can be seen that the market for water-jet looms is booming! This has also worried many market participants. With such a large-scale production capacity being launched, will the good market be sustainable?
Suzhou Fanny Textile Co., Ltd. sells nylon fabrics, imitation memory and other fabrics in the market. General manager Zhang Jinming said that at the end of last year, it had stocked up to three to four million meters of gray fabrics. Today, the market is in short supply. It also proved that the previous prediction was accurate. Currently�60%-70% of our gray fabrics come from northern Jiangsu, Hubei, Anhui and other places. The current shipping cost per meter of cloth is 3-5 cents, but the price per meter of cloth is about 2 cents cheaper than the local ones. This shows that the cost of fabrics in other places The price of gray cloth is still very advantageous. In addition, the scale of weaving factories in other places is generally relatively large, so they are unwilling to accept small orders. Therefore, we who trade gray fabrics still have an advantage in this aspect. Not only do we have a large demand, but we also have a relatively large number of customers for them. Stablize.
Chen Fengrong, general manager of Wujiang Biaodun Chemical Fiber Weaving Co., Ltd., which specializes in anti-static lining fabrics, believes that the gray fabrics that will be put into production in other places in the second half of the year will have a certain impact on the local area, especially the looms from other places. It mainly produces low-end products such as polyester taffeta and pongee, and the cost is lower than local ones. It cannot be ruled out that after the expansion of production capacity, the market will usher in a new round of price war.
In addition, Dong Huifeng also said that many factories have been transferred to northern Jiangsu, Anhui, Jiangxi and other places, but they have not yet officially Since the start of production, the overall supply of low-end fabrics in the market is still tight. However, if these production capacities are increased, the market is more likely to fall back. For example, there is a kind of Shumei silk on the market that has average sales this year, but the market for this fabric was very good last year. This year, there are more manufacturers producing it, and the supply exceeds demand, so the market has dropped significantly.
3. After the “Gold, Three and Silver”, will there be a spring for “rags”?
While environmental protection continues to work hard, a large number of water-jet looms have been launched, which has cast a veil over the market trend in the second half of the year, and market participants have speculated. , will the market outlook continue to gain strength or will it fall back in the cold? To this end, China Silk City Network investigated 50 textile companies. Among them, a large proportion are still optimistic about the market outlook, and many companies have doubts about the market outlook.
Optimists: Environmental protection inspections will affect the expansion of textile machinery
Sun Chenhuan, general manager of Suzhou Shenghuan Textile Co., Ltd., which specializes in jacquard products, believes that At present, the sales of imitation silk products are relatively hot, especially for chiffon products, which are in short supply; the market sales of thicker products such as four-way stretch products are slightly light. The company’s sales are mainly aimed at the Keqiao market, because its order volume is relatively large, subsequent orders are relatively tight, and small orders will not be accepted for the time being.
Zhang Mingjin of Suzhou Fanni Textile Co., Ltd. said that environmental protection inspections continue to intensify, and the textile machinery market in Qingdao, Shandong and other places has also been greatly affected, resulting in the weaving market in northern Jiangsu, Hubei and other places. The looms could not be put in place in time, and the output could not be increased. Therefore, the large-scale production of foreign gray fabrics originally expected to be put into production in the second half of this year will also be postponed to April or May next year. The market in the second half of the year is still optimistic.
Pessimism: The market remains stable, and the arrival of the off-season will affect the market
Weng Jianlin, general manager of Suzhou Juzhong Textile Technology Co., Ltd., said that the company’s main business is pongee textiles. At present, the gray fabrics of the pongee series are relatively hot-selling, and the high-density pongee will basically not go out of fashion. Compared with the same period in previous years, the market this year is not much different. The market is currently in a stabilizing stage, but market prices have begun to fade, and the market will end around the end of May.
(The picture shows our reporter talking with Juzhong Textile Wen Weng Jianlin)
Neutral faction : There are many uncertain factors, and the market needs to wait and see
Chen Zongyang, general manager of Suzhou Henghuang Import and Export Trading Co., Ltd., said that at present, basically all products have been relatively easy to sell, and there is nothing wrong with it. Products that are starting to fade away. As a foreign trade company, changes in the RMB exchange rate have the greatest impact on order acceptance. We cannot be sure of the market outlook, but it still depends on factors such as exchange rate changes and cost changes.
Editor’s note: After more than 20 years of brutal growth, the domestic textile market has begun to reconstruct the industry’s ecosystem. Although many problems still plague many textile professionals, in Under the imbalance of supply and demand, the “buyer’s” market gradually transforms into a “seller’s” market, with rising costs and stricter environmental protection. We will have to wait and see whether this is an opportunity or a challenge!
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