As long as you pay attention to the news recently, you will find that there are a lot of words like heavy rain, flood, flood situation, etc. Since July, heavy rainfall has occurred in many places in our country, and various heavy rain warnings have been issued one after another. And since July 4, 212 rivers in my country have experienced floods above warning levels, of which 72 rivers have exceeded warning levels and 19 have exceeded historical records. Taihu Lake has exceeded warning levels for 15 consecutive days. There are various signs that this year we will face another flood disaster similar to that of 1998.
People can’t help but ask, what’s wrong with the weather this year and why is there so much rain? In fact, these are all caused by “El Niluo”. An important impact of El Niluo on our country is “floods”. Super El Niño in 1998 once brought severe floods to our country, and this year’s floods are also related to it. But El Niño’s impact on us is obviously not only floods, but also a phenomenon that we cannot ignore – warm winters.
The impact of warm winter is usually ignored by people, and many people even look forward to a warm winter. But for us textile people, if this winter is a warm winter, it must be during the epidemic. Adding insult to injury.
Everyone who is engaged in the textile industry knows that there are generally two peak seasons in a year. The first is March and April in the first half of the year, which is mainly for spring and summer fabrics; the other is the next season. In September and October of the half year, autumn and winter fabrics are mainly used. During the spring and summer peak seasons in the first half of this year, a large number of orders were canceled and delayed due to the global epidemic, and most textile workers missed it. If this winter is a mild winter, the combined impact of the epidemic will inevitably greatly reduce the autumn and winter peak seasons.
Under the warm winter, autumn and winter fabrics may not be available
Because one of the main functions of autumn and winter clothing is to keep warm, it affects Its factors are also relatively limited, namely weather changes and temperature levels. Therefore, the sales of autumn and winter clothing can be said to be completely dependent on the weather, and the related autumn and winter fabrics cannot escape the influence of the weather.
It was a cold winter from the end of 2016 to the beginning of 2017. During that time, winter clothing fabrics such as nylon, polyester taffeta, imitation memory, double-sided woolen fabrics were very popular in the fabric market. Orders for hundreds of thousands or millions of meters came in overwhelmingly. Dyeing factories also actively cooperated for this feast. Many dyeing factories even gave up other fabrics and gave the green light to nylon and polyester taffeta fabrics to ensure that these fabrics Production should be completed within three days.
It was a warm winter from the end of 2019 to the beginning of 2020, and the winter clothing fabrics at that time completely felt the “cold” in the warm winter. 380T nylon is a commonly used fabric for down jackets. The price of gray fabric has collapsed, from more than 4.5 yuan/meter to about 3 yuan/meter. It is difficult to see hundreds of thousands of meters or more than one million meters of winter clothing fabrics in dyeing factories. Order. Not only that, down jackets and other winter clothing can be seen on sale at low prices everywhere. In some markets, a down jacket only costs 150 yuan.
Whether it is cold or hot in winter, the impact on the textile and apparel market is evident. There is a high probability that this year will be a mild winter, and the textile market will continue to repeat the situation from the end of 19 to the beginning of 2020.
Orders have been cut by 2/3, and brand service companies lack confidence
This year due to the impact of the new coronavirus , the textile market in the second half of the year has insufficient demand and lack of confidence, and a large number of orders may be cut.
American sports giant Nike said it has canceled about 30% of factory orders before the autumn and year-end shopping seasons. H&M said it will sell some out-of-season spring inventory in the fall.
U.S. fashion luxury goods group Ralph Lauren said it has canceled about two-thirds of its autumn orders; U.S. casual denim clothing brand Levi Strauss & Co. (Levi’s) said it will put some unsold basic clothing on shelves in the fall.
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The epidemic has caused major clothing companies to lack enthusiasm for the market in the second half of the year, and fewer order cancellations have become the norm. Once the possibility of a warm winter is confirmed, it will add insult to injury and will inevitably cause orders for autumn and winter fabrics to continue to plummet based on the current level.
It has become unclear whether the textile peak season in the second half of this year will arrive as scheduled. After all, the large amount of inventory left over from last year’s warm winter has not been fully digested. Another warm winter will inevitably seriously affect the speed of inventory digestion and will also limit the placement of new orders. Moreover, there are no signs of improvement in the overseas COVID-19 epidemic, and the second half of the year for textile workers may be even more difficult than the first half. Carefully lay out the autumn and winter fabric market, prepare sufficient liquidity, and prepare for the coming severe winter. </p
